From:
http://quake.wr.usgs.gov/recenteqs/Quakes/ustybq.htm
I have not made my usual CA earthquake prediction based on my spring/fall “earthquake season” theory and model. Mostly because I have just been too busy with work, home improvements, and designing my CO ranch.
However, I would suggest you take note of this quake off of NorCal today. Typically, the fall earthquake season window corresponding to my model opens in mid-September and closes in late OCT or early NOV, depending upon average temperatures. There have been some decent-sized quakes (>3.5) just south of the US-Mexico border in the last 2 weeks as well.
More data to validate my model… And for the record, I believe the window will close on this fall’s season on NOV 5th. As for magnitudes, I believe a “big one” is still within the realm of possibility (at least a 6.0 and could go as high as 7.1).
RMT
I am pretty much convinced that my thermal heating rate theory for “earthquake seasons” in the spring and fall is a “good” theory. Now I have to better crack the ability to predict magnitudes and location along a fault line. 