United States Presidential Election, 1992

Introduction

This is a revision of the United States presidential election of 1992.

The election was a three-way race between incumbent Republican President George H. W. Bush, Democrat Bill Clinton, and Independent Ross Perot. In the current timeline, Clinton beat Bush by around 6 percentage points (about 43% to about 37%), with Perot coming in third at around 18%. This revised version of history makes this 1992 victory for Clinton quite a bit narrower. In this revision, Clinton has 37.7% of the popular vote compared to Bush’s 36.4%, and Perot’s whopping 25.1%, for a victory margin of more than 1 percentage point between Clinton and Bush, making the popular vote a very close race!

I’m doing this because of Republican President Ronald Reagan’s popularity which is carried on to George H. W. Bush, and this revised election reflects on comparison with the revised 1988 election, where Bush beats Democrat Michael Dukakis by close to 19 percentage points. The fact that Bush was a RINO who lied about his 1988 campaign promises diminishes his popularity among the patriotic American (“conservative”) base and leads to Perot taking millions of votes away from Bush. In this scenario, Bush would have beaten Clinton by a landslide margin nonetheless if it weren’t for Perot.

The revised election below is organized state-by-state in alphabetical order, for a total of 50 states plus the District of Columbia.

United States presidential election, 1992 (results estimated)

Alabama

George H. W. Bush (R): 605,082 (43.4%)
Bill Clinton (D): 489,088 (35.1%)
Ross Perot (I): 288,463 (20.7%)
Other: 11,578 (0.8%)
Total: 1,394,211

Alaska

Bush: 76,233 (37.5%)
Clinton: 64,618 (31.8%)
Perot: 58,562 (28.8%)
Other: 3,703 (1.8%)
Total: 203,116

Arizona

Bush: 387,526 (39.3%)
Clinton: 347,052 (35.2%)
Perot: 238,229 (24.2%)
Other: 12,114 (1.2%)
Total: 984,921

Arkansas

Clinton: 516,266 (51.8%)
Bush: 303,723 (30.5%)
Perot: 167,708 (16.8%)
Other: 8,775 (0.9%)
Total: 996,472

California

Clinton: 3,718,853 (37.8%)
Bush: 3,356,422 (34.1%)
Perot: 2,681,792 (27.2%)
Other: 91,598 (0.9%)
Total: 9,848,665

Colorado

Clinton: 456,235 (37%)
Bush: 423,672 (34.3%)
Perot: 329,566 (26.7%)
Other: 23,933 (1.9%)
Total: 1,233,406

Connecticut

Clinton: 560,660 (41.4%)
Bush: 434,413 (32.1%)
Perot: 338,375 (25%)
Other: 21,137 (1.6%)
Total: 1,354,585

Delaware

Clinton: 102,721 (40.5%)
Bush: 86,656 (34.2%)
Perot: 61,673 (24.3%)
Other: 2,356 (0.9%)
Total: 253,406

District of Columbia

Clinton: 170,402 (82.7%)
Bush: 21,835 (10.6%)
Perot: 9,582 (4.7%)
Other: 4,146 (2%)
Total: 205,965

Florida

Bush: 1,746,771 (40.4%)
Clinton: 1,503,409 (34.8%)
Perot: 1,055,588 (24.4%)
Other: 16,864 (0.4%)
Total: 4,322,632

Georgia

Clinton: 666,960 (35.8%)
Bush: 662,486 (35.5%)
Perot: 488,992 (26.2%)
Other: 45,103 (2.4%)
Total: 1,863,541

Hawaii

Clinton: 163,090 (47.7%)
Bush: 115,247 (33.7%)
Perot: 60,257 (17.6%)
Other: 3,386 (1%)
Total: 341,980

Idaho

Bush: 209,301 (42%)
Clinton: 139,536 (28%)
Perot: 136,647 (27.4%)
Other: 12,505 (2.5%)
Total: 497,989

Illinois

Clinton: 2,140,439 (38.5%)
Bush: 1,875,038 (33.8%)
Perot: 1,512,470 (27.2%)
Other: 24,436 (0.4%)
Total: 5,552,383

Indiana

Bush: 992,389 (42.9%)
Clinton: 841,404 (36.4%)
Perot: 466,370 (20.2%)
Other: 12,029 (0.5%)
Total: 2,312,192

Iowa

Clinton: 552,750 (39.9%)
Bush: 516,445 (37.3%)
Perot: 306,377 (22.1%)
Other: 10,121 (0.7%)
Total: 1,385,693

Kansas

Bush: 393,800 (38.9%)
Clinton: 337,690 (33.3%)
Perot: 277,423 (27.4%)
Other: 3,956 (0.4%)
Total: 1,012,869

Kentucky

Clinton: 550,476 (38.6%)
Bush: 525,396 (36.9%)
Perot: 342,856 (24.1%)
Other: 6,276 (0.4%)
Total: 1,425,004

Louisiana

Clinton: 645,836 (37.3%)
Bush: 585,283 (33.8%)
Perot: 453,452 (26.2%)
Other: 45,506 (2.6%)
Total: 1,730,077

Maine

Clinton: 220,662 (37.1%)
Bush: 184,341 (31%)
Perot: 187,015 (31.5%)
Other: 2,443 (0.4%)
Total: 594,461

Maryland

Clinton: 729,295 (42.6%)
Bush: 555,320 (32.4%)
Perot: 420,900 (24.6%)
Other: 6,855 (0.4%)
Total: 1,712,370

Massachusetts

Clinton: 1,098,590 (38.8%)
Bush: 964,666 (34.1%)
Perot: 750,329 (26.5%)
Other: 17,844 (0.6%)
Total: 2,831,429

Michigan

Clinton: 1,632,231 (37.2%)
Bush: 1,593,630 (36.3%)
Perot: 1,136,116 (25.9%)
Other: 24,571 (0.6%)
Total: 4,386,548

Minnesota

Clinton: 911,571 (43.1%)
Bush: 673,946 (31.8%)
Perot: 515,458 (24.4%)
Other: 15,030 (0.7%)
Total: 2,116,005

Mississippi

Bush: 457,322 (44.2%)
Clinton: 328,654 (31.8%)
Perot: 218,277 (21.1%)
Other: 29,253 (2.8%)
Total: 1,033,506

Missouri

Clinton: 874,545 (37.3%)
Bush: 825,595 (35.2%)
Perot: 587,637 (25.1%)
Other: 54,343 (2.3%)
Total: 2,342,120

Montana

Clinton: 152,494 (37.2%)
Bush: 143,851 (35.1%)
Perot: 108,585 (26.5%)
Other: 4,675 (1.1%)
Total: 409,605

Nebraska

Bush: 338,273 (46.6%)
Clinton: 210,638 (29%)
Perot: 174,482 (24%)
Other: 2,838 (0.4%)
Total: 726,231

Nevada

Clinton: 111,262 (35.1%)
Bush: 108,279 (34.1%)
Perot: 92,316 (29.1%)
Other: 5,496 (1.7%)
Total: 317,353

New Hampshire

Clinton: 162,067 (36.8%)
Bush: 159,822 (36.3%)
Perot: 114,330 (26%)
Other: 4,190 (1%)
Total: 440,409

New Jersey

Clinton: 1,312,017 (37.8%)
Bush: 1,297,793 (37.4%)
Perot: 829,464 (23.9%)
Other: 29,840 (0.9%)
Total: 3,469,114

New Mexico

Clinton: 234,316 (42.9%)
Bush: 201,358 (36.9%)
Perot: 106,520 (19.5%)
Other: 3,498 (0.6%)
Total: 545,692

New York

Clinton: 3,339,293 (39.3%)
Bush: 2,855,672 (33.6%)
Perot: 2,236,267 (26.4%)
Other: 55,167 (0.7%)
Total: 8,486,399

North Carolina

Bush: 909,687 (38.1%)
Clinton: 848,613 (35.6%)
Perot: 598,825 (25.1%)
Other: 28,635 (1.2%)
Total: 2,385,760

North Dakota

Bush: 149,525 (44.2%)
Clinton: 107,463 (31.8%)
Perot: 79,364 (23.5%)
Other: 1,798 (0.5%)
Total: 338,150

Ohio

Clinton: 1,786,078 (37.1%)
Bush: 1,770,182 (36.7%)
Perot: 1,236,962 (25.7%)
Other: 23,608 (0.5%)
Total: 4,816,830

Oklahoma

Bush: 495,620 (43.6%)
Clinton: 336,319 (29.6%)
Perot: 288,518 (25.4%)
Other: 14,994 (1.3%)
Total: 1,135,451

Oregon

Clinton: 461,843 (42.1%)
Bush: 357,030 (32.5%)
Perot: 270,106 (24.6%)
Other: 8,567 (0.8%)
Total: 1,097,546

Pennsylvania

Clinton: 2,087,161 (38.5%)
Bush: 1,901,998 (35.1%)
Perot: 1,396,858 (25.8%)
Other: 28,160 (0.5%)
Total: 5,414,177

Rhode Island

Clinton: 215,742 (46.6%)
Bush: 134,287 (29%)
Perot: 108,984 (23.6%)
Other: 3,568 (0.8%)
Total: 462,581

South Carolina

Bush: 420,745 (39.2%)
Clinton: 379,091 (35.3%)
Perot: 267,865 (24.9%)
Other: 5,911 (0.6%)
Total: 1,073,612

South Dakota

Bush: 146,447 (40.7%)
Clinton: 132,329 (36.7%)
Perot: 79,961 (22.2%)
Other: 1,447 (0.4%)
Total: 360,184

Tennessee

Clinton: 736,741 (41.1%)
Bush: 663,766 (37%)
Perot: 385,317 (21.5%)
Other: 7,178 (0.4%)
Total: 1,793,002

Texas

Bush: 2,327,807 (41.1%)
Clinton: 1,841,385 (32.5%)
Perot: 1,480,251 (26.1%)
Other: 19,848 (0.4%)
Total: 5,669,291

Utah

Bush: 289,540 (43.4%)
Clinton: 161,935 (24.3%)
Perot: 185,238 (27.7%)
Other: 31,056 (4.7%)
Total: 667,769

Vermont

Clinton: 100,833 (43%)
Bush: 73,080 (31.1%)
Perot: 59,075 (25.2%)
Other: 1,625 (0.7%)
Total: 234,613

Virginia

Bush: 878,696 (41.6%)
Clinton: 770,441 (36.5%)
Perot: 443,782 (21%)
Other: 17,310 (0.8%)
Total: 2,110,229

Washington

Clinton: 775,814 (43%)
Bush: 576,449 (31.9%)
Perot: 434,458 (24.1%)
Other: 17,507 (1%)
Total: 1,804,228

West Virginia

Clinton: 331,832 (36.8%)
Bush: 311,295 (34.6%)
Perot: 255,090 (28.3%)
Other: 2,528 (0.3%)
Total: 900,745

Wisconsin

Clinton: 960,005 (40.7%)
Bush: 866,905 (36.8%)
Perot: 516,421 (21.9%)
Other: 13,676 (0.6%)
Total: 2,357,007

Wyoming

Bush: 94,513 (49.6%)
Clinton: 44,952 (23.6%)
Perot: 49,491 (26%)
Other: 1,760 (0.9%)
Total: 190,716

United States (total)

Clinton: 37,363,697 (37.7%)
Bush: 36,045,158 (36.4%)
Perot: 24,888,644 (25.1%)
Other: 844,741 (0.9%)
Total: 99,142,240