Introduction
This is a revision of the United States presidential election of 1992.
The election was a three-way race between incumbent Republican President George H. W. Bush, Democrat Bill Clinton, and Independent Ross Perot. In the current timeline, Clinton beat Bush by around 6 percentage points (about 43% to about 37%), with Perot coming in third at around 18%. This revised version of history makes this 1992 victory for Clinton quite a bit narrower. In this revision, Clinton has 37.7% of the popular vote compared to Bush’s 36.4%, and Perot’s whopping 25.1%, for a victory margin of more than 1 percentage point between Clinton and Bush, making the popular vote a very close race!
I’m doing this because of Republican President Ronald Reagan’s popularity which is carried on to George H. W. Bush, and this revised election reflects on comparison with the revised 1988 election, where Bush beats Democrat Michael Dukakis by close to 19 percentage points. The fact that Bush was a RINO who lied about his 1988 campaign promises diminishes his popularity among the patriotic American (“conservative”) base and leads to Perot taking millions of votes away from Bush. In this scenario, Bush would have beaten Clinton by a landslide margin nonetheless if it weren’t for Perot.
The revised election below is organized state-by-state in alphabetical order, for a total of 50 states plus the District of Columbia.
United States presidential election, 1992 (results estimated)
Alabama
George H. W. Bush (R): 605,082 (43.4%)
Bill Clinton (D): 489,088 (35.1%)
Ross Perot (I): 288,463 (20.7%)
Other: 11,578 (0.8%)
Total: 1,394,211
Alaska
Bush: 76,233 (37.5%)
Clinton: 64,618 (31.8%)
Perot: 58,562 (28.8%)
Other: 3,703 (1.8%)
Total: 203,116
Arizona
Bush: 387,526 (39.3%)
Clinton: 347,052 (35.2%)
Perot: 238,229 (24.2%)
Other: 12,114 (1.2%)
Total: 984,921
Arkansas
Clinton: 516,266 (51.8%)
Bush: 303,723 (30.5%)
Perot: 167,708 (16.8%)
Other: 8,775 (0.9%)
Total: 996,472
California
Clinton: 3,718,853 (37.8%)
Bush: 3,356,422 (34.1%)
Perot: 2,681,792 (27.2%)
Other: 91,598 (0.9%)
Total: 9,848,665
Colorado
Clinton: 456,235 (37%)
Bush: 423,672 (34.3%)
Perot: 329,566 (26.7%)
Other: 23,933 (1.9%)
Total: 1,233,406
Connecticut
Clinton: 560,660 (41.4%)
Bush: 434,413 (32.1%)
Perot: 338,375 (25%)
Other: 21,137 (1.6%)
Total: 1,354,585
Delaware
Clinton: 102,721 (40.5%)
Bush: 86,656 (34.2%)
Perot: 61,673 (24.3%)
Other: 2,356 (0.9%)
Total: 253,406
District of Columbia
Clinton: 170,402 (82.7%)
Bush: 21,835 (10.6%)
Perot: 9,582 (4.7%)
Other: 4,146 (2%)
Total: 205,965
Florida
Bush: 1,746,771 (40.4%)
Clinton: 1,503,409 (34.8%)
Perot: 1,055,588 (24.4%)
Other: 16,864 (0.4%)
Total: 4,322,632
Georgia
Clinton: 666,960 (35.8%)
Bush: 662,486 (35.5%)
Perot: 488,992 (26.2%)
Other: 45,103 (2.4%)
Total: 1,863,541
Hawaii
Clinton: 163,090 (47.7%)
Bush: 115,247 (33.7%)
Perot: 60,257 (17.6%)
Other: 3,386 (1%)
Total: 341,980
Idaho
Bush: 209,301 (42%)
Clinton: 139,536 (28%)
Perot: 136,647 (27.4%)
Other: 12,505 (2.5%)
Total: 497,989
Illinois
Clinton: 2,140,439 (38.5%)
Bush: 1,875,038 (33.8%)
Perot: 1,512,470 (27.2%)
Other: 24,436 (0.4%)
Total: 5,552,383
Indiana
Bush: 992,389 (42.9%)
Clinton: 841,404 (36.4%)
Perot: 466,370 (20.2%)
Other: 12,029 (0.5%)
Total: 2,312,192
Iowa
Clinton: 552,750 (39.9%)
Bush: 516,445 (37.3%)
Perot: 306,377 (22.1%)
Other: 10,121 (0.7%)
Total: 1,385,693
Kansas
Bush: 393,800 (38.9%)
Clinton: 337,690 (33.3%)
Perot: 277,423 (27.4%)
Other: 3,956 (0.4%)
Total: 1,012,869
Kentucky
Clinton: 550,476 (38.6%)
Bush: 525,396 (36.9%)
Perot: 342,856 (24.1%)
Other: 6,276 (0.4%)
Total: 1,425,004
Louisiana
Clinton: 645,836 (37.3%)
Bush: 585,283 (33.8%)
Perot: 453,452 (26.2%)
Other: 45,506 (2.6%)
Total: 1,730,077
Maine
Clinton: 220,662 (37.1%)
Bush: 184,341 (31%)
Perot: 187,015 (31.5%)
Other: 2,443 (0.4%)
Total: 594,461
Maryland
Clinton: 729,295 (42.6%)
Bush: 555,320 (32.4%)
Perot: 420,900 (24.6%)
Other: 6,855 (0.4%)
Total: 1,712,370
Massachusetts
Clinton: 1,098,590 (38.8%)
Bush: 964,666 (34.1%)
Perot: 750,329 (26.5%)
Other: 17,844 (0.6%)
Total: 2,831,429
Michigan
Clinton: 1,632,231 (37.2%)
Bush: 1,593,630 (36.3%)
Perot: 1,136,116 (25.9%)
Other: 24,571 (0.6%)
Total: 4,386,548
Minnesota
Clinton: 911,571 (43.1%)
Bush: 673,946 (31.8%)
Perot: 515,458 (24.4%)
Other: 15,030 (0.7%)
Total: 2,116,005
Mississippi
Bush: 457,322 (44.2%)
Clinton: 328,654 (31.8%)
Perot: 218,277 (21.1%)
Other: 29,253 (2.8%)
Total: 1,033,506
Missouri
Clinton: 874,545 (37.3%)
Bush: 825,595 (35.2%)
Perot: 587,637 (25.1%)
Other: 54,343 (2.3%)
Total: 2,342,120
Montana
Clinton: 152,494 (37.2%)
Bush: 143,851 (35.1%)
Perot: 108,585 (26.5%)
Other: 4,675 (1.1%)
Total: 409,605
Nebraska
Bush: 338,273 (46.6%)
Clinton: 210,638 (29%)
Perot: 174,482 (24%)
Other: 2,838 (0.4%)
Total: 726,231
Nevada
Clinton: 111,262 (35.1%)
Bush: 108,279 (34.1%)
Perot: 92,316 (29.1%)
Other: 5,496 (1.7%)
Total: 317,353
New Hampshire
Clinton: 162,067 (36.8%)
Bush: 159,822 (36.3%)
Perot: 114,330 (26%)
Other: 4,190 (1%)
Total: 440,409
New Jersey
Clinton: 1,312,017 (37.8%)
Bush: 1,297,793 (37.4%)
Perot: 829,464 (23.9%)
Other: 29,840 (0.9%)
Total: 3,469,114
New Mexico
Clinton: 234,316 (42.9%)
Bush: 201,358 (36.9%)
Perot: 106,520 (19.5%)
Other: 3,498 (0.6%)
Total: 545,692
New York
Clinton: 3,339,293 (39.3%)
Bush: 2,855,672 (33.6%)
Perot: 2,236,267 (26.4%)
Other: 55,167 (0.7%)
Total: 8,486,399
North Carolina
Bush: 909,687 (38.1%)
Clinton: 848,613 (35.6%)
Perot: 598,825 (25.1%)
Other: 28,635 (1.2%)
Total: 2,385,760
North Dakota
Bush: 149,525 (44.2%)
Clinton: 107,463 (31.8%)
Perot: 79,364 (23.5%)
Other: 1,798 (0.5%)
Total: 338,150
Ohio
Clinton: 1,786,078 (37.1%)
Bush: 1,770,182 (36.7%)
Perot: 1,236,962 (25.7%)
Other: 23,608 (0.5%)
Total: 4,816,830
Oklahoma
Bush: 495,620 (43.6%)
Clinton: 336,319 (29.6%)
Perot: 288,518 (25.4%)
Other: 14,994 (1.3%)
Total: 1,135,451
Oregon
Clinton: 461,843 (42.1%)
Bush: 357,030 (32.5%)
Perot: 270,106 (24.6%)
Other: 8,567 (0.8%)
Total: 1,097,546
Pennsylvania
Clinton: 2,087,161 (38.5%)
Bush: 1,901,998 (35.1%)
Perot: 1,396,858 (25.8%)
Other: 28,160 (0.5%)
Total: 5,414,177
Rhode Island
Clinton: 215,742 (46.6%)
Bush: 134,287 (29%)
Perot: 108,984 (23.6%)
Other: 3,568 (0.8%)
Total: 462,581
South Carolina
Bush: 420,745 (39.2%)
Clinton: 379,091 (35.3%)
Perot: 267,865 (24.9%)
Other: 5,911 (0.6%)
Total: 1,073,612
South Dakota
Bush: 146,447 (40.7%)
Clinton: 132,329 (36.7%)
Perot: 79,961 (22.2%)
Other: 1,447 (0.4%)
Total: 360,184
Tennessee
Clinton: 736,741 (41.1%)
Bush: 663,766 (37%)
Perot: 385,317 (21.5%)
Other: 7,178 (0.4%)
Total: 1,793,002
Texas
Bush: 2,327,807 (41.1%)
Clinton: 1,841,385 (32.5%)
Perot: 1,480,251 (26.1%)
Other: 19,848 (0.4%)
Total: 5,669,291
Utah
Bush: 289,540 (43.4%)
Clinton: 161,935 (24.3%)
Perot: 185,238 (27.7%)
Other: 31,056 (4.7%)
Total: 667,769
Vermont
Clinton: 100,833 (43%)
Bush: 73,080 (31.1%)
Perot: 59,075 (25.2%)
Other: 1,625 (0.7%)
Total: 234,613
Virginia
Bush: 878,696 (41.6%)
Clinton: 770,441 (36.5%)
Perot: 443,782 (21%)
Other: 17,310 (0.8%)
Total: 2,110,229
Washington
Clinton: 775,814 (43%)
Bush: 576,449 (31.9%)
Perot: 434,458 (24.1%)
Other: 17,507 (1%)
Total: 1,804,228
West Virginia
Clinton: 331,832 (36.8%)
Bush: 311,295 (34.6%)
Perot: 255,090 (28.3%)
Other: 2,528 (0.3%)
Total: 900,745
Wisconsin
Clinton: 960,005 (40.7%)
Bush: 866,905 (36.8%)
Perot: 516,421 (21.9%)
Other: 13,676 (0.6%)
Total: 2,357,007
Wyoming
Bush: 94,513 (49.6%)
Clinton: 44,952 (23.6%)
Perot: 49,491 (26%)
Other: 1,760 (0.9%)
Total: 190,716
United States (total)
Clinton: 37,363,697 (37.7%)
Bush: 36,045,158 (36.4%)
Perot: 24,888,644 (25.1%)
Other: 844,741 (0.9%)
Total: 99,142,240