United States Presidential Election, 1992

This is a revision of the United States presidential election of 1992.

The election was a three-way race between incumbent Republican President George H. W. Bush, Democrat Bill Clinton, and Independent Ross Perot. In the current timeline, Clinton beat Bush by around 6 percentage points (about 43% to about 37%), with Perot coming in third at around 18%. This revised version of history makes this 1992 victory for Clinton quite a bit narrower. In this revision, Clinton has 37.7% of the popular vote compared to Bush’s 36.4%, and Perot’s whopping 25.1%, for a victory margin of more than 1 percentage point between Clinton and Bush, making the popular vote a very close race!

I’m doing this because of Republican President Ronald Reagan’s popularity which is carried on to George H. W. Bush, and this revised election reflects on comparison with the revised 1988 election, where Bush beats Democrat Michael Dukakis by close to 19 percentage points. The fact that Bush was a RINO who lied about his 1988 campaign promises diminishes his popularity among the patriotic American (“conservative”) base and leads to Perot taking millions of votes away from Bush. In this scenario, Bush would have beaten Clinton by a landslide margin nonetheless if it weren’t for Perot.

The revised election below is organized state-by-state in alphabetical order, for a total of 50 states plus the District of Columbia.

United States presidential election, 1992 (results estimated)​

Alabama​

George H. W. Bush (R): 605,082 (43.4%)
Bill Clinton (D): 489,088 (35.1%)
Ross Perot (I): 288,463 (20.7%)
Other: 11,578 (0.8%)
Total: 1,394,211

Alaska​

Bush: 76,233 (37.5%)
Clinton: 64,618 (31.8%)
Perot: 58,562 (28.8%)
Other: 3,703 (1.8%)
Total: 203,116

Arizona​

Bush: 387,526 (39.3%)
Clinton: 347,052 (35.2%)
Perot: 238,229 (24.2%)
Other: 12,114 (1.2%)
Total: 984,921

Arkansas​

Clinton: 516,266 (51.8%)
Bush: 303,723 (30.5%)
Perot: 167,708 (16.8%)
Other: 8,775 (0.9%)
Total: 996,472

California​

Clinton: 3,718,853 (37.8%)
Bush: 3,356,422 (34.1%)
Perot: 2,681,792 (27.2%)
Other: 91,598 (0.9%)
Total: 9,848,665

Colorado​

Clinton: 456,235 (37%)
Bush: 423,672 (34.3%)
Perot: 329,566 (26.7%)
Other: 23,933 (1.9%)
Total: 1,233,406

Connecticut​

Clinton: 560,660 (41.4%)
Bush: 434,413 (32.1%)
Perot: 338,375 (25%)
Other: 21,137 (1.6%)
Total: 1,354,585

Delaware​

Clinton: 102,721 (40.5%)
Bush: 86,656 (34.2%)
Perot: 61,673 (24.3%)
Other: 2,356 (0.9%)
Total: 253,406

District of Columbia​

Clinton: 170,402 (82.7%)
Bush: 21,835 (10.6%)
Perot: 9,582 (4.7%)
Other: 4,146 (2%)
Total: 205,965

Florida​

Bush: 1,746,771 (40.4%)
Clinton: 1,503,409 (34.8%)
Perot: 1,055,588 (24.4%)
Other: 16,864 (0.4%)
Total: 4,322,632

Georgia​

Clinton: 666,960 (35.8%)
Bush: 662,486 (35.5%)
Perot: 488,992 (26.2%)
Other: 45,103 (2.4%)
Total: 1,863,541

Hawaii​

Clinton: 163,090 (47.7%)
Bush: 115,247 (33.7%)
Perot: 60,257 (17.6%)
Other: 3,386 (1%)
Total: 341,980

Idaho​

Bush: 209,301 (42%)
Clinton: 139,536 (28%)
Perot: 136,647 (27.4%)
Other: 12,505 (2.5%)
Total: 497,989

Illinois​

Clinton: 2,140,439 (38.5%)
Bush: 1,875,038 (33.8%)
Perot: 1,512,470 (27.2%)
Other: 24,436 (0.4%)
Total: 5,552,383

Indiana​

Bush: 992,389 (42.9%)
Clinton: 841,404 (36.4%)
Perot: 466,370 (20.2%)
Other: 12,029 (0.5%)
Total: 2,312,192

Iowa​

Clinton: 552,750 (39.9%)
Bush: 516,445 (37.3%)
Perot: 306,377 (22.1%)
Other: 10,121 (0.7%)
Total: 1,385,693

Kansas​

Bush: 393,800 (38.9%)
Clinton: 337,690 (33.3%)
Perot: 277,423 (27.4%)
Other: 3,956 (0.4%)
Total: 1,012,869

Kentucky​

Clinton: 550,476 (38.6%)
Bush: 525,396 (36.9%)
Perot: 342,856 (24.1%)
Other: 6,276 (0.4%)
Total: 1,425,004

Louisiana​

Clinton: 645,836 (37.3%)
Bush: 585,283 (33.8%)
Perot: 453,452 (26.2%)
Other: 45,506 (2.6%)
Total: 1,730,077

Maine​

Clinton: 220,662 (37.1%)
Bush: 184,341 (31%)
Perot: 187,015 (31.5%)
Other: 2,443 (0.4%)
Total: 594,461

Maryland​

Clinton: 729,295 (42.6%)
Bush: 555,320 (32.4%)
Perot: 420,900 (24.6%)
Other: 6,855 (0.4%)
Total: 1,712,370

Massachusetts​

Clinton: 1,098,590 (38.8%)
Bush: 964,666 (34.1%)
Perot: 750,329 (26.5%)
Other: 17,844 (0.6%)
Total: 2,831,429

Michigan​

Clinton: 1,632,231 (37.2%)
Bush: 1,593,630 (36.3%)
Perot: 1,136,116 (25.9%)
Other: 24,571 (0.6%)
Total: 4,386,548

Minnesota​

Clinton: 911,571 (43.1%)
Bush: 673,946 (31.8%)
Perot: 515,458 (24.4%)
Other: 15,030 (0.7%)
Total: 2,116,005

Mississippi​

Bush: 457,322 (44.2%)
Clinton: 328,654 (31.8%)
Perot: 218,277 (21.1%)
Other: 29,253 (2.8%)
Total: 1,033,506

Missouri​

Clinton: 874,545 (37.3%)
Bush: 825,595 (35.2%)
Perot: 587,637 (25.1%)
Other: 54,343 (2.3%)
Total: 2,342,120

Montana​

Clinton: 152,494 (37.2%)
Bush: 143,851 (35.1%)
Perot: 108,585 (26.5%)
Other: 4,675 (1.1%)
Total: 409,605

Nebraska​

Bush: 338,273 (46.6%)
Clinton: 210,638 (29%)
Perot: 174,482 (24%)
Other: 2,838 (0.4%)
Total: 726,231

Nevada​

Clinton: 111,262 (35.1%)
Bush: 108,279 (34.1%)
Perot: 92,316 (29.1%)
Other: 5,496 (1.7%)
Total: 317,353

New Hampshire​

Clinton: 162,067 (36.8%)
Bush: 159,822 (36.3%)
Perot: 114,330 (26%)
Other: 4,190 (1%)
Total: 440,409

New Jersey​

Clinton: 1,312,017 (37.8%)
Bush: 1,297,793 (37.4%)
Perot: 829,464 (23.9%)
Other: 29,840 (0.9%)
Total: 3,469,114

New Mexico​

Clinton: 234,316 (42.9%)
Bush: 201,358 (36.9%)
Perot: 106,520 (19.5%)
Other: 3,498 (0.6%)
Total: 545,692

New York​

Clinton: 3,339,293 (39.3%)
Bush: 2,855,672 (33.6%)
Perot: 2,236,267 (26.4%)
Other: 55,167 (0.7%)
Total: 8,486,399

North Carolina​

Bush: 909,687 (38.1%)
Clinton: 848,613 (35.6%)
Perot: 598,825 (25.1%)
Other: 28,635 (1.2%)
Total: 2,385,760

North Dakota​

Bush: 149,525 (44.2%)
Clinton: 107,463 (31.8%)
Perot: 79,364 (23.5%)
Other: 1,798 (0.5%)
Total: 338,150

Ohio​

Clinton: 1,786,078 (37.1%)
Bush: 1,770,182 (36.7%)
Perot: 1,236,962 (25.7%)
Other: 23,608 (0.5%)
Total: 4,816,830

Oklahoma​

Bush: 495,620 (43.6%)
Clinton: 336,319 (29.6%)
Perot: 288,518 (25.4%)
Other: 14,994 (1.3%)
Total: 1,135,451

Oregon​

Clinton: 461,843 (42.1%)
Bush: 357,030 (32.5%)
Perot: 270,106 (24.6%)
Other: 8,567 (0.8%)
Total: 1,097,546

Pennsylvania​

Clinton: 2,087,161 (38.5%)
Bush: 1,901,998 (35.1%)
Perot: 1,396,858 (25.8%)
Other: 28,160 (0.5%)
Total: 5,414,177

Rhode Island​

Clinton: 215,742 (46.6%)
Bush: 134,287 (29%)
Perot: 108,984 (23.6%)
Other: 3,568 (0.8%)
Total: 462,581

South Carolina​

Bush: 420,745 (39.2%)
Clinton: 379,091 (35.3%)
Perot: 267,865 (24.9%)
Other: 5,911 (0.6%)
Total: 1,073,612

South Dakota​

Bush: 146,447 (40.7%)
Clinton: 132,329 (36.7%)
Perot: 79,961 (22.2%)
Other: 1,447 (0.4%)
Total: 360,184

Tennessee​

Clinton: 736,741 (41.1%)
Bush: 663,766 (37%)
Perot: 385,317 (21.5%)
Other: 7,178 (0.4%)
Total: 1,793,002

Texas​

Bush: 2,327,807 (41.1%)
Clinton: 1,841,385 (32.5%)
Perot: 1,480,251 (26.1%)
Other: 19,848 (0.4%)
Total: 5,669,291

Utah​

Bush: 289,540 (43.4%)
Clinton: 161,935 (24.3%)
Perot: 185,238 (27.7%)
Other: 31,056 (4.7%)
Total: 667,769

Vermont​

Clinton: 100,833 (43%)
Bush: 73,080 (31.1%)
Perot: 59,075 (25.2%)
Other: 1,625 (0.7%)
Total: 234,613

Virginia​

Bush: 878,696 (41.6%)
Clinton: 770,441 (36.5%)
Perot: 443,782 (21%)
Other: 17,310 (0.8%)
Total: 2,110,229

Washington​

Clinton: 775,814 (43%)
Bush: 576,449 (31.9%)
Perot: 434,458 (24.1%)
Other: 17,507 (1%)
Total: 1,804,228

West Virginia​

Clinton: 331,832 (36.8%)
Bush: 311,295 (34.6%)
Perot: 255,090 (28.3%)
Other: 2,528 (0.3%)
Total: 900,745

Wisconsin​

Clinton: 960,005 (40.7%)
Bush: 866,905 (36.8%)
Perot: 516,421 (21.9%)
Other: 13,676 (0.6%)
Total: 2,357,007

Wyoming​

Bush: 94,513 (49.6%)
Clinton: 44,952 (23.6%)
Perot: 49,491 (26%)
Other: 1,760 (0.9%)
Total: 190,716

United States (total)​

Clinton: 37,363,697 (37.7%)
Bush: 36,045,158 (36.4%)
Perot: 24,888,644 (25.1%)
Other: 844,741 (0.9%)
Total: 99,142,240